Kevin's blog #3
Based on both Susan Strange and Benjamin Cohen’s idea, a mainstream trend in global economics is the apportioned power. On the condition that standing on the original strong countries, like America, Britain, Netherlands, and so on, we won’t think the upcoming power-sharing trend as a good thing. However, I think it will be a certain future – even besides China, there will be more developing countries who will be “eligible” to have a right to speak in the global economic system. I am not indicating that this trend is good or bad, but trying to stop some other countries from getting stronger enough to join in the “high level” will not be a wise decision – generally speaking, IMF and some other organizations actually did a lot to those developing countries. Currently, attempting to reclaim that decentralized power can lead to some unfriendly cold war, especially between several impactful countries – the results can somehow be larger than we imagine. For instance, I would like to mention the economic sanctions that a lot of countries use on Russia because of the war between Russia and Ukraine. I understand that sanctions are for reasons to punish the people who start a hot war in this era, but the impact of such punishment actually might be larger than the war itself. Like the price of oil and crops in many countries recently went up. If Russia really gets expelled from the WTO, the world’s financial system would inevitably tip the balance. Furthermore, those countries who gave the sanction to Russia are mainly in the west, and it will push the Russian economy to the east(in a word, Asia), which will make the global economy marginalized. The harm the sanction brings up is horrible for the balance of the financial system indeed, let alone trying to reclaim the power from developing countries. The IMF has set the rough shape of the world economy, though, nowadays, the turbulence happened. We realize that the sharing power might cause some unhealthy movement because the currency dominance will be moved harshly, so the better solution here might be accepting the shared power, and waiting to see the process of the on-going economic war and hot war.
First off I would like to say that your writing was great. I like how you incorporated real world events into your writing. I also agree that there will be more developing countries that will have a chance to speak in the global economic system. What countries specifically do you feel will have this chance?
ReplyDeleteKevin,
ReplyDeleteYour blog is very well-written. I like how you explained that "original strong countries" like America and the Netherlands might be opposed to the concept of power-sharing. Yet, I see both sides because power-sharing is supported by democracy. I think that a strong democracy like the US would see it as a rather good thing. I agree with you that there will be more of a place for developing countries to voice their concerns/thoughts in the global economy. Since power-sharing is desirable, do you think that non-democratic nations like Russia and China will embrace this new trend with open arms (even though they should)?
This is definitely something I had no given much thought to but makes a ton of sense! Having smaller countries more involved may be on the rise and would be beneficial to the global economic system. This increase could provide more development and give smaller countries a chance to join in on world events. I also agree the sanctions against Russia could be harmful to the US in the future, as we have to consider Putin is strong minded and would no longer wish to work with us if he did not have to.
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